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Strategic ForesightThe persistent Houthi capacity for missile attacks on strategic Yemeni locations, including port infrastructure, signals a critical juncture for Red Sea security. This brief examines three potential trajectories for the conflict and its broader consequences by 2030.
▲ Deep Read
Strategic ForesightHong Kong's proposed tax regime expansion to include major trading firms suggests a deliberate policy to enhance its competitive standing among global financial hubs. This move could fundamentally alter capital flow dynamics and market structure over the next decade.
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Strategic ForesightAmerican movie stars are increasingly visible in China, signalling Hollywood's continued prioritisation of market access despite geopolitical headwinds. This trend underscores a strategic dilemma for studios balancing commercial imperatives with national interests.
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Strategic ForesightEurope is contending with recurrent extreme heat events, prompting questions about the continent's resilience. This analysis explores potential economic and social trajectories through 2030, examining how sustained thermal stress could reshape daily life and policy.
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Strategic ForesightA former Thai MP's livestreamed confession to murder highlights an unprecedented convergence of political violence and digital media. This event offers a lens through which to examine potential trajectories for Thailand's political landscape and the broader implications for accountability in the digital age.
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Strategic ForesightThe death of a prominent alleged rebel leader just after a new presidential inauguration marks a pivotal moment for Colombia. This analysis explores three divergent pathways the nation might take by 2030, examining the forces that could lead to lasting peace, prolonged fragmentation, or renewed large-scale conflict.
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Strategic ForesightThe unprecedented security measures surrounding the extradition of a suspected organised crime figure from Dubai to Ireland suggest a significant shift in international cooperation against criminal networks. This event may establish a precedent for pursuing high-level targets across jurisdictions previously considered immune to such interventions.
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Strategic ForesightRecent Houthi missile and drone attacks on al-Makha port signal a continued willingness to project force. This analysis explores three distinct scenarios for the evolution of maritime security in the Red Sea through 2030.
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Strategic ForesightWestpac's recent profit growth, tempered by its CEO's caution regarding the housing market, highlights the current equilibrium in Australian real estate. This moment could precede a sustained period of disinflation or set the stage for a renewed, albeit different, ascent.
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Strategic ForesightThe assertion that Israel is 'erasing Palestine' signals a fundamental challenge to the notion of a future Palestinian state. This analysis explores three divergent scenarios for the region by 2030, examining the forces that could lead to outright dissolution, a formal end to the two-state paradigm, or a continuation of the current contained conflict.
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